Bob Rae: 3 : 1
Stephane Dion: 3 : 1
Michael Ignatieff: 4 : 1
Ken Dryden: 6 : 1
Current Odds reflect the following :
1. Bevilacqua (and surely some of his right leaning delegates along with him) moves over to the Rae camp improving his already strong odds. More strength as a result of his performance during the Next Face interview. (Look for Part Three coming soon.) This is a veteran politician. A well spoken and intelligent alternative who in spite of his provincial skeletons could go toe to toe with Harper - both noses bloodied - and come out on top.
2. Ignoring the plagiarism debacle for a moment, Stephane Dion's strength is his seasoned political presence and youthful enthusiasm. We also like his 3 pillars message. If he has a weakness it might be the overzealous bloggers that will say or do anything to get his message out.
3. We like Ken Dryden a great deal. Frankly we think when the dust settles and the possible campaigns to prevent an Ignatieff or a Rae election rise to the surface, it could come down to Dryden and Dion. But his vision for "A Big Canada" may be too big for some to digest. Did it hit the mark? Time will tell, but our feeling is that momentum is waning in this camp. He needs to make a significant announcement in October or November and go into the convention with a head of steam.
4. Big re-launch today. Still, he seems more prone to polarize (rather than unify) the delegate population. At least that is the sense in the blog community. A Next Face interview cannot be far off and that might make all the difference. At least to us anyway.